The Democrats, the Midterms, and the Future of American Politics
Despite Trump’s best efforts, there will be another presidential election—and he will not be one of the candidates. J.D. Vance knows that and he is doing everything he can to be the only Republican contender seriously considered. Others will emerge determined to beat him. Much depends on whether the MAGA movement can survive the crumbling incompetence of the Dear Leader’s administration and the destruction it has unleashed on American society, the economy, and democracy.
The Democratic Question
What about the other side of the aisle? The magic eight ball says, “Ask again later.” That may be about as accurate as the most advanced generative artificial intelligence. Still, I have some thoughts.
Pete Buttigieg has been the most articulate representative of hope for Democrats. He has been clear that opposing Trump and Project 2025 is not enough. Democrats must focus on what they stand for in terms that speak directly to the fundamentals of the cost of living for ordinary people: job growth, wages, housing, education, healthcare, childcare, elder care, and every other expense that affects daily life. Only after those issues are made clear to the voting public can Democrats turn attention to other essential matters such as social justice, civil rights, and international affairs.
This may sting some liberals who have devoted everything to those causes, but if Democrats want to win big elections, they must lead with the issues that touch the lives of ordinary people. And they should be reminded that “ordinary people” include the very communities whose civil rights and social justice they have long championed.
I don’t think Buttigieg could win a presidential election, but he should be a candidate, because his presence will force others to clear a higher bar. My preference would be to see him in a senior administrative post such as Secretary of State. We have lost so much ground in the community of nations and it will take someone of his capabilities to rebuild trust and leadership.
Other Promising Leaders
Another of my favorites is Katie Porter. She is currently a candidate in the California gubernatorial primaries. Should she win and prove her executive competence, she might be an excellent presidential candidate later on. Otherwise, I would love to see her talents put to use in the executive branch. She would be terrific at the Office of Management and Budget—what a treat it would be to see her whiteboard in action. Like Buttigieg, her candidacy in the primaries would raise the standard for everyone else.
Who else? Three governors stand out: Gavin Newsom, J.B. Pritzker, and Tim Walz. For now, I would hold out for Pritzker. Others in the House or Senate may emerge but no single name leaps to mind at this moment.
The Midterms Will Matter
Next year’s midterm elections could change everything. A Democrat House majority would dramatically shift the political climate, strengthening the hand of a Democrat minority in the Senate. Should Democrats somehow win both chambers, even the idea of a third impeachment with a conviction, however unlikely, becomes imaginable.
The midterms will also bring new Democratic hopefuls into the presidential race. To political pundits that may look like disunity. To me it looks like creative fertility—many ideas searching for ways to form molecules of cooperation for the common good. Unity should never mean uniformity; true vitality comes from diversity of thought meeting new challenges.
The Need for Balance
I hope Democrats develop enough discipline to win both the midterms and the next presidential election. It may be the only way to save our American way of life. Oddly enough, I want even more for a new conservative party to arise. Every democracy needs the flexible balance of liberals pressing forward and conservatives restraining exuberance. They must understand and trust each other as the loyal opposition.
There is a long road ahead in rebuilding a responsible conservative party but our future as a prosperous democracy depends on it.