Whenever the nation faces turbulent moments like market crashes, burst housing bubbles, pandemics, civil unrest, etc., major news media trot out anxiety about uncertainty as though they believe we we had been living in a time of pleasantly stable equilibrium. With disruptive events, media promotes the thought that no one will know what to do with everything so uncertain. In addition, social media sites are quick to assert reassuring comprehensive knowledge of what’s going on and precisely what will happen next with no more accuracy than reading tea leaves or goat entrails.
In all honesty, we live in an uncertain world. The degree of uncertainty can vary wildly, but society has never been in a state of stable equilibrium and predictable future. For most individuals tomorrow is most likely to go as planned. Daily routines can be anticipated. Day follows day, season follows season, and things work like they should except when they don’t. Minor inconveniences and unexpected events can mess things up, but it’s generally a degree of variation easily tolerated. On the other hand, things can go very wrong with unexpected frequency.
Nature often behaves in ways that appear erratic and destructive, turning the way things are supposed to be upside down. Global economic and political conditions create unwanted shockwaves of violence, refugees and massive population migrations. Human fragility, selfishness, greed and wickedness infect society with evil challenging everything that is good. To top it off, there are around 8 billion of us on the globe creating random collisions and consequences. Remember the story of the butterfly effect? Butterflies have nothing on us for the effects we can and do produce.
We live in an uncertain world. In fact we need some degree of uncertainty to flourish, thrive and prosper. The question is, what degree of uncertainty can be tolerated? There is no acceptable answer. Different people have different capacities for living easily with uncertainty. Several studies of American society suggest that a large portion of the population wants clear boundaries and strong leadership telling them what’s expected and how they will be rewarded. Being an old guy, I go back to O.J. Harvey and his conclusion that the majority of (white) American adults are “other directed” survivors just trying to get through life. They are content being directed by others who give them some feeling of predictable reliability. It flies in the face of the creed of American individualism, but the two live together quite well. It’s almost a truism that people will accept direction from leaders they believe are close to them and others like themselves, but suspect and resent top echelons and impersonal bureaucracies telling them what to do. Beyond an unavoidable uncertainty, they are likely to see the world in black or white, right or wrong, but they are also resilient when resilience is demanded, the nation’s response to WWII as perhaps the most obvious example. It’s a mindset with distribution across economic and social classes, so I recall.
Harvey said a lesser portion of the population is willing to deal with greater degrees of uncertainty, adapt more easily to rapid change, and more willing to take on responsibility for making decisions affecting the lives of many. Maybe they have stronger support systems, more resources at their disposal, or different intellectual capabilities, or maybe something else. In any case, they are able to navigate the changes and chances of this world in ways other directed survivors would find overwhelmingly threatening. They are not immune from toxic anxiety over uncertainty but are able to tolerate more of it than the majority. The data is old (1970s) and the methodology limited, but my guess is that human nature hasn’t changed much.
The more one is able to navigate in an uncertain world, the less things can be black or white, right or wrong, true or untrue. The world becomes a place of provisional truth that can be acted on with an acceptable degree of confidence.
Consider the bold decisions of Martin Luther King, John Lewis, Dietrich Bonhoeffer and others of recent memory. They stand in a long line of women and men recorded in history and scripture who risked all in uncertain times with sure and certain trust in God’s call to work for godly justice, reform of the church, and the way of love that darkness cannot overcome. It would be a mistake to read that as romantic sentimentality. The record is of courage in the face of fear, and certainty of what needed to be done without knowing what the outcome would be. They took on their work not on their own behalf but on behalf of all those who were simply struggling to get through life, unable to deal with more uncertainty than what had to be faced each day, bracketing everything else as black or white, right or Wong.
Folks less able to cope with major surges of uncertainty are not the less for desiring more certainty than life can provide. They’re the warp and woof of society. In their prosperity lies the prosperity of the whole nation. In other words, leaders cannot flourish if those whom they lead do not flourish. In fact, I can’t flourish if you do not flourish, and you may be someone I don’t know, may not like, and who may appear as a threat to me.
A unity of persons and peoples is implied yet seems unlikely. For Christians, the place where the possibility of its realization that includes all peoples without exception may be found in the Lord’s Prayer. It begins with our Father, not just my father and of others who believe like me. God is ether ‘father’ of all or of none. It asks God for what we (humanity) need today, not just what I need. It’s a prayer that puts us in reconciling relationship with all others. It acknowledges our limitations and weaknesses in the face of temptation, asking for the guidance we need. At its heart it’s a Jewish prayer proclaiming God’s redeeming love for every creature and all of creation. By praying it we proclaim our kinship with all, excluding none, regardless of belief or lack of it.
It does nothing to resolve the problem of uncertainty that besets us. What it does is give us a place to stand, a solid rock and certain test in God’s abounding and steadfast love. There’s enough room on that rock for everyone. No one is forced to stand on it, but everyone is invited. It is the one certain and immovable place to stand. It is the sure certainty we want.