Political centrists, whether to the right or left, are incoherent mumblers with no firmly held convictions and unwilling to make hard decisions. The best they can do is muddle through while offering no concrete direction to the public. At least that’s the usual accusation coming from the extremes of left and right. That most practical of all philosophers, Aristotle, argued that the extremes, however confidently held, represented destructive excesses on one hand and equally destructive deficiencies on the other. Wisdom required a golden mean, the well balanced middle between the extremes of excess and deficiencies. He was not alone in that something of the same is found in other philosophers and most major religions. It is, one might say, the wisdom of the ages.
The well balanced middle way is not muddle headed stumbling toward decisions, but the product of well informed reflection and negotiation. It flies in the face of a young friend who once told me centrists were ciphers, they counted for nothing, you had to pick one side or the other, there’s no middle ground. He was one of those delightful sophomoric Marxists one can find on most college campuses, but my Trumpian neighbor is no different. His take is if you are not a dogmatic libertarian you are a socialist of the worst kind. The Marxist and the right wing plutocrat passionately fear and detest each other and both look with utter contempt on all who are not one or the other. I guess they assume moderates or centrists are merely complacent, content with the way things are and disinterested in the complaints of those who passionately believe all is not well and needs to change.
When extremes are the engine driving public policy where does it go? Consider the current standoff in the House of Representatives; a small group of right wing extremists led by a compliant Speaker of the House may bring the nation to a thundering shutdown, the ultimate nowhere. The problem with nowhere is it always ends up somewhere with disintegration and decomposition rapidly setting in to produce system failures harming real people in real time.
There may be a large portion of the public whose complacency can be shaken only when their personal interests appear to be threatened. They are the propaganda targets of the extremes. They are not the centrists who have been essential to whatever progress the nation has made. National leaders who helped “make America great” were able to balance competing interests and ideologies enough to make change happen making life better and more secure for more people. Despite the howls of big business, Republican T. Roosevelt was a centrist in his progressive era trust busting. His Democratic cousin, FDR, balanced competing congressional interests to create the “liberal consensus” that defined America’s middle way for over fifty years. Truman, Eisenhower and Johnson worked to make the American Dream a reality for more people in a society of greater social justice. Centrist leadership is not the politics of appeasement but of naming the issues and confronting them head on with workable solutions and enough public support to be implemented.
I think the Vietnam and Civil Rights era created the political forces that ended the primacy of centrist leadership. Country Parson columns are too short to go into details. Suffice it to say the election of Reagan gave the Gingrich/Norquist gang of libertarian extremists the chance to use popular discontent to attack the liberal consensus in favor of non-negotiable, no quarter given strategy to make it almost impossible for centrists to create acceptable agreements between all parties. It helped generate the stagnation of low and middle class incomes, transferred wealth to the upper classes, encouraged big business excesses, marginalized aid to those in greatest need, and ignited the fires of far right wing populism.
It’s a strategy that’s worked more often than not since the 1980s. It sputtered enough to give us Obamacare, but regained enough momentum to also give us Trump and Trumpism. I don’t think Koch Network libertarians and associates knew they would create a Frankenstein like political monster unable to be controlled, but they did.
The current administration has done a masterful job of trying to restore the primacy of the liberal consensus adapted for the 21st century but have come up against the Trumpian core in Congress who have learned how to stop the machinery of government with a few dozen votes and skillful manipulation of rules and procedures. It’s a small but determined movement that long ago abandoned any loyalty to the Gingrich “Agenda for America” and thumbs its nose at Koch Network oligarchs that underwrote their startup costs.
The 2024 elections will set the direction of the nation’s future, but I don’t think it can be cast as red against blue or liberals against conservatives. Trumpians want to make it a battle against imaginary commie socialists. Koch Network oligarchs want to make it a contest for a more defensible laissez-faire Reaganism and put their populist monster in a locked closet. Centrists will favor the current administration while fending off attacks from Trumpians, oligarchs and a few hard left activists. As elections go, I suspect it will look like some kind of professional tag-team wrestling event.
My hope is that enough of the voting public will have had it with the destructive outrages of Trumpians, reject oligarchs’ demands that they control economic policy and disregard terrifying scares about socialism. For America to continue being great, whatever that means, the nation must choose the responsible and reflective centrist way. As Aristotle would say, go for the Golden Mean.